Tuesday, 19 May 2009

Prediction of violence

there are several possible ways to predict where wars might start

  1. the news give a signature pattern before escalation of violence for 8 months
  2. prediction markets
  3. ai
  4. memtracking, zeitgeist/google trends
if i knew where these could begin i might avoid them and move to somewhere more peaceful
perhaps i could join into lobby to provide alternatives to violence and provide additional resources for expression of public will.

however Buddhism denies prediction because of the suffering that it can cause and exacerbate.
or in other words suffering cannot cede as easily if one was to engage in divination or fortune telling. i suppose one could draw a line between the two different methods.

of these i would like to stop on the first method - surely there is a feedback loop since the process of reporting violence causes further agitation and increased tension, even lashbacks
this has been shown in psychological tests - active words having violent meaning.

what is US if it is arming up with Americorps? How does the aim form , how does it reach peace and wars.

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